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Market Analysis
Analysis generated 100 hours ago
Executive Summary
2/1/2026, 8:54:12 PMAs of the morning of the 2026 Grammy Awards, official performance rosters from CBS, Forbes, and People have confirmed a specific set of artists, including a consolidated Best New Artist medley featuring all eight nominees. Significant mispricings exist for Sombr, who is confirmed but trading low, and for major stars like Chappell Roan and Doechii, who are confirmed as presenters rather than performers.
BUY 🡆 YES
Sombr Confirmed for BNA Medley
+39% EV
Conf: 100/100
Will Sombr perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
AI Prob
99.0%
Price (Then)
71.3¢
Price (Now)
71.3¢
Kelly Stake
5u
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Every major reporting outlet (CBS, Forbes, People) confirms that all eight Best New Artist nominees, including Sombr, will perform a collaborative medley during the telecast. While other BNA nominees like Addison Rae and Lola Young are priced at 0.99, Sombr is significantly undervalued at 0.71.
BUYING YES
BUY 🡆 NO
Chappell Roan is a Presenter, Not Performer
+34% EV
Conf: 95/100
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
AI Prob
95.0%
Price (Then)
71.0¢
Price (Now)
71.0¢
Kelly Stake
4u
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Multiple official sources (FOX, WCNC, CBS) list Chappell Roan explicitly as a presenter for the evening's ceremony. She is absent from all 'confirmed performer' lists on the day of the show. Per market rules, non-performance appearances do not count towards a 'Yes' resolution.
BUYING NO
BUY 🡆 NO
Kendrick Lamar Absence from Performer List
+24% EV
Conf: 85/100
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
AI Prob
85.0%
Price (Then)
68.5¢
Price (Now)
68.5¢
Kelly Stake
2.5u
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Despite leading the nominations with nine nods, Kendrick Lamar is not included in the final day-of-show performance schedules released by CBS or major media outlets. While a surprise is possible, the confirmed roster focus on stars like Lady Gaga, Justin Bieber, and Sabrina Carpenter suggests he is not scheduled to perform.
BUYING NO
BUY 🡆 NO
Billie Eilish Attending but Not Performing
+18% EV
Conf: 90/100
Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
AI Prob
90.0%
Price (Then)
76.5¢
Price (Now)
76.5¢
Kelly Stake
2u
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Official seating chart news confirms Billie Eilish and Finneas are seated in the front row as attendees/nominees, but they are excluded from all performer lists. Media reports specifically noted her 'snub' in the performance context relative to her major nominations.
BUYING NO
BUY 🡆 NO
Doechii Confirmed as Presenter
+16% EV
Conf: 95/100
Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
AI Prob
95.0%
Price (Then)
82.0¢
Price (Now)
82.0¢
Kelly Stake
2u
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Doechii is confirmed by CBS and the Recording Academy as a presenter. She is not listed on any performance rosters. This creates high confidence for a 'No' resolution under the rule excluding non-performance appearances.
BUYING NO
BUY 🡆 NO
Bad Bunny Super Bowl Exclusivity Likely
+14% EV
Conf: 95/100
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
AI Prob
95.0%
Price (Then)
83.0¢
Price (Now)
83.0¢
Kelly Stake
1.5u
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Bad Bunny is headlining Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026. Standard exclusivity clauses usually prevent Super Bowl headliners from major televised performances in the week leading up to the game. He is omitted from all verified performer lists for the Grammys.
BUYING NO